{"id":2289,"date":"2020-01-23T10:30:02","date_gmt":"2020-01-23T17:30:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289"},"modified":"2020-01-23T12:55:22","modified_gmt":"2020-01-23T19:55:22","slug":"san-diego-county-population-growth-has-all-but-stopped","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289","title":{"rendered":"San Diego County Population Growth has all but Stopped"},"content":{"rendered":"

Written by Richard Rider, Chairman of San Diego Tax Fighters<\/em><\/p>\n

I was on one of my statistical journeys through U.S. Census data when I unexpectedly stumbled upon this the following important fact:<\/p>\n

According to the latest census figures, the population of San Diego County \u2014 a huge county larger than the state of Rhode Island and is home to over 3.3 million people \u2014 barely increased in population in the last reported year. From July 2017 to July 2018, the county population grew by only 5,679 people. That\u2019s an annual growth rate of just 0.17%.<\/p>\n

If this trend continues, in the coming 10 years, the county will grow by less than two percent. That two percent is not \u201cper year\u201d \u2014 that\u2019s per ten years.<\/p>\n

Likewise, California state population growth has also been slowing<\/a>. But slow as our state population growth is, it\u2019s still growing two to three times faster than San Diego County. Moreover, while the nation\u2019s overall population growth has also been slowing, over the last two years population growth in the other 49 states has been growing 50 percent faster than California.<\/p>\n

There are many reasons why this lack of population growth (such growth being good or bad depending on one\u2019s viewpoint) is important. School districts have downplayed their stagnant enrollment for years (lower birth rates) \u2014 pleading for ever more money for \u201ccritically needed\u201d facilities. Governments at every level have for years been overestimating our San Diego County growth rate.<\/p>\n

But perhaps the most important reason this moribund San Diego County growth rate is important is that for years, SANDAG, our county\u2019s rogue regional transportation super-agency, has been systematically overestimating our growth to justify their foolish spending on little used rail transit. The most recent example is the SANDAG bureaucrats\u2019 gonzo plan to have high speed rail crisscrossing our rural county areas at the cost of many billions of dollars \u2014 to meet our supposedly steadily increasing transportation needs.<\/p>\n

From what I can find online, SANDAG last projected<\/a> our county\u2019s 2050 population in the year 2013. No further updates are available. San Diego County\u2019s population was projected to be 4,068,759 in 2050. Using the last available year\u2019s growth rate of 0.17% as the average future growth rate, it now appears that our county population will be 3,524,120 by mid-century. That\u2019s 544,639 less people than SANDAG\u2019s optimistic and outdated 2013 projection.<\/p>\n

Again, let me emphasize that this slowing population growth rate has been going on for several years \u2014 at the national, state, and local level. There’s no reason to think it\u2019s going to reverse direction. It seems more likely that the growth will further slow, and even go negative. Indeed, this last census survey found that no less than 10 states population growth rate had actually turned negative.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Written by Richard Rider, Chairman of San Diego Tax Fighters I was on one of my statistical journeys through U.S. Census data when I unexpectedly stumbled upon this the following important fact: According to the latest census figures, the population of San Diego County \u2014 a huge county larger than the state of Rhode Island…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1575,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2289","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion"],"yoast_head":"\nSan Diego County Population Growth has all but Stopped - San Diego News Desk<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"San Diego County Population Growth has all but Stopped - San Diego News Desk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Written by Richard Rider, Chairman of San Diego Tax Fighters I was on one of my statistical journeys through U.S. Census data when I unexpectedly stumbled upon this the following important fact: According to the latest census figures, the population of San Diego County \u2014 a huge county larger than the state of Rhode Island...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"San Diego News Desk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-01-23T17:30:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-01-23T19:55:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Business.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/#organization\",\"name\":\"San Diego News Desk\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/\",\"sameAs\":[],\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/#logo\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/Logo-SanDiegoNewsDesk-Article.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/Logo-SanDiegoNewsDesk-Article.png\",\"width\":1200,\"height\":720,\"caption\":\"San Diego News Desk\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/#logo\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/\",\"name\":\"San Diego News Desk\",\"description\":\"Your Source for News in San Diego\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?s={search_term_string}\",\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289#primaryimage\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Business.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Business.jpg\",\"width\":1200,\"height\":720},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289\",\"name\":\"San Diego County Population Growth has all but Stopped - San Diego News Desk\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289#primaryimage\"},\"datePublished\":\"2020-01-23T17:30:02+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-01-23T19:55:22+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"San Diego County Population Growth has all but Stopped\"}]},{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289#webpage\"},\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/#\/schema\/person\/f5bed4fc07270caa9fa05a8b26be4751\"},\"headline\":\"San Diego County Population Growth has all but Stopped\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-01-23T17:30:02+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-01-23T19:55:22+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289#webpage\"},\"wordCount\":461,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?p=2289#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Business.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Opinion\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/#\/schema\/person\/f5bed4fc07270caa9fa05a8b26be4751\",\"name\":\"San Diego News Desk\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/#personlogo\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/05062ed7eb31bfe5ee9233a235e7d2e2?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/05062ed7eb31bfe5ee9233a235e7d2e2?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"San Diego News Desk\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/?author=3\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2289"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2289"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2289\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1575"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2289"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2289"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sandiegonewsdesk.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2289"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}